Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 9.808940 11.322168 12.947415 14.817641 16.905014 19.157700 21.767157
2025-09-07 7.694038 9.714340 12.041374 14.899988 18.295818 22.179090 26.932427
2025-09-14 6.382909 8.638549 11.379054 14.913397 19.306645 24.541654 31.200616
2025-09-21 5.513341 7.918500 10.975481 15.080190 20.374155 26.893768 35.441862
2025-09-28 4.778311 7.248480 10.519661 15.073390 21.140503 28.829238 39.175779
2025-10-05 4.326067 6.888548 10.406563 15.459237 22.380492 31.365967 43.722745
2025-10-12 3.910341 6.521377 10.230321 15.714603 23.421560 33.649657 47.993695
2025-10-19 3.508480 6.122241 9.959873 15.794947 24.195759 35.577115 51.832105
2025-10-26 3.035602 5.556579 9.388310 15.384767 24.234073 36.475987 54.282865
2025-11-02 2.658245 5.096277 8.926910 15.087411 24.391688 37.514607 56.927013
2025-11-09 2.326801 4.671403 8.477915 14.764716 24.474286 38.424879 59.394261
2025-11-16 2.045795 4.298693 8.075502 14.475871 24.574564 39.341645 61.875417
2025-11-23 1.763119 3.891810 7.585084 14.016684 24.394572 39.849600 63.802673
2025-11-30 1.606018 3.698254 7.435925 14.095671 25.044138 41.596876 67.580937
2025-12-07 1.456044 3.499289 7.257825 14.108485 25.579166 43.178619 71.150035
2025-12-14 1.343338 3.360265 7.172595 14.267832 26.348271 45.132081 75.320784
2025-12-21 1.219801 3.182941 7.000677 14.261334 26.837714 46.660882 78.883376
2025-12-28 1.155131 3.123155 7.042237 14.630009 27.959509 49.204368 84.057040
2026-01-04 1.081007 3.033149 7.017323 14.874050 28.875954 51.445496 88.817358
2026-01-11 0.995097 2.905129 6.906416 14.950837 29.504345 53.239478 92.921552
2026-01-18 0.870725 2.668910 6.557334 14.558848 29.296959 53.669823 94.884212
2026-01-25 0.770139 2.475193 6.276687 14.274730 29.258589 54.363677 97.269880
2026-02-01 0.678425 2.289387 5.994669 13.966453 29.156592 54.939669 99.469990